Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 2.471591 2.955039 3.482820 4.098635 4.794197 5.552286 6.437699
2026-02-08 1.707883 2.314542 3.037969 3.951487 5.060906 6.351182 7.951039
2026-02-15 1.223013 1.876236 2.724073 3.874838 5.363752 7.192388 9.572390
2026-02-22 0.965162 1.661398 2.636813 4.045745 5.966966 8.431976 11.763808
2026-03-01 0.726118 1.411415 2.449651 4.043832 6.328640 9.380616 13.648512
2026-03-08 0.499861 1.117089 2.137107 3.808448 6.329465 9.835092 14.902811
2026-03-15 0.350693 0.905029 1.903819 3.644694 6.396857 10.364028 16.268125
2026-03-22 0.293003 0.846007 1.909561 3.848434 7.016951 11.699187 18.806510
2026-03-29 0.258678 0.824533 1.975348 4.153094 7.809309 13.320810 21.818698
2026-04-05 0.222138 0.786020 2.000650 4.386633 8.499939 14.821007 24.714084
2026-04-12 0.173249 0.699000 1.913575 4.407125 8.839634 15.802407 26.885295
2026-04-19 0.124299 0.589081 1.755173 4.272598 8.902641 16.352382 28.428558
2026-04-26 0.087982 0.497955 1.619973 4.168971 9.017780 17.003694 30.177614
2026-05-03 0.061351 0.421165 1.498545 4.073557 9.134754 17.658206 31.952952
2026-05-10 0.043347 0.363011 1.407944 4.027460 9.333136 18.450005 33.967327
2026-05-17 0.036179 0.348090 1.429056 4.223840 9.993494 20.033581 37.279834
2026-05-24 0.026149 0.308493 1.370509 4.234271 10.299340 21.031567 39.690660
2026-05-31 0.014913 0.243676 1.215339 3.997631 10.103893 21.160234 40.701047
2026-06-07 0.008470 0.196883 1.098845 3.831916 10.029523 21.486510 42.034401
2026-06-14 0.007065 0.193380 1.132472 4.046221 10.742911 23.227334 45.750704
2026-06-21 0.006566 0.199552 1.203675 4.364366 11.687697 25.409575 50.253132
2026-06-28 0.005591 0.198018 1.245140 4.607943 12.487342 27.354279 54.401872
2026-07-05 0.003692 0.177406 1.205313 4.629883 12.818249 28.462472 57.171964